A new poll from Elon University
shows that the approval ratings President Trump and Republican Senators Thom Tillis and Richard Burr are far underwater among North Carolina voters.
Trump’s approval stands just shy of 37 percent—a slight improvement from last month’s 34.4 percent rating in the same poll, owing entirely to a slight rise in Republican support. More interestingly, though, are the numbers for Burr and Tillis, the latter of whom will be up for reelection in 2020. (Burr says he will retire when his current term ends in 2023.) They both trail Trump in support: Burr’s approval rating is 31 percent; Tillis’s, just 28 percent.
Part of their problem is that significant majorities of Trump voters don’t think they’re sufficiently supportive of the president. Indeed, 27 percent of Trump voters disapprove of Burr, and 21 percent disapprove of Tillis. Overall, 38.5 percent of voters believe the senators should back Trump more than they already do.
Roy Cooper, meanwhile, is holding steady, with 49 percent approval—including a 30 percent approval from Republicans—and 30 percent disapproval. He’s doing far better than Pat McCrory was at this point four years ago.
While Elon asked about international issues regarding Russia and North Korea, it (somewhat disappointingly) did not ask a generic ballot question for next year’s legislative races (i.e., in a race between a Republican and Democrat, for whom would you vote?). Cooper can lock in all the support he wants, but if Democrats don’t get enough popular support to overcome Republican supermajorities, Tim Moore and Phil Berger will keep overriding his vetoes and rendering him essentially impotent anyway. (The new nonpartisan maps that special master Nathaniel Persily
is crafting for a federal court may help them out.)
If you had to guess, though, Trump polling in the mid-thirties doesn’t bode well for the GOP. Indeed, in May, a Civitas Institute poll that gave Trump a 42 percent approval rating also gave Democrats a fifteen-point generic ballot lead
, which, if it held, might not only vanquish the supermajorities but also put control of the legislature in play.
You can read the entire poll below.
See related PDF